The Punting Pointers team has been in great shape this week and Rory Delargy is arguing for two bets at Newbury on Friday.
This virgin hurdle seems to have been shoved in so we can see the reunion of Jonbon, Douvan’s full brother, who’s going to win everything from Supreme to the Eurovision Song Contest next year, if one is to believe messages from the farm.
Fantastic pedigree or not, that’s the form we continue with, and the bottom line is that Jonbon’s victory here in March has seen six of those he beat run a total of sixteen times for just one victory since. It’s hardly a great shape, and the time was not something to write home about either.
Good Risk At All’s bumper form reads much better, but it was worrying that he could not finish the job with tight odds in Chepstow on his hurdles debut, where his hurdles technique was at times less convincing. He will learn from it, but as Jonbon slips from the stupid early quotes, he has been backed up in 6/4 and does not appeal much while his jump is still an issue.
We believe that the bet in the race must be one every way CHARLIES look. He also won a C&D bumper here for Andy Martin back in March, but even though Jonbons has not worked, his could not work much better with the second, third, fourth and fifth, all successful since.
He was in that form when the midfield in the Grade 2 bumper at Aintree on his only subsequent start, but that race has worked exceptionally well, with eight next time winners all making it to the hurdles debut. Although he’s no better than he showed at Aintree (where James Martin was unable to claim his 7lb allowances), he’s still a player here, but we both tend to think he’s is the type that makes it even better over obstacles given his pedigree and he is one to hold next to.
Solo went to the fence at Ascot and almost beat Nassalam in a finish with waving heads, but we know Solo is capable of throwing a bad one in after a good one and he might just be the kind who catches fresh and so goes in peace, especially since he has gone back in the weights of that defeat.
In the words of David Massey: “I eat peas before I ever take 11-8 on anything Harry Fry took”, so it’s Boothill dispensed with, for all he’s now driven at a more respectable price. I did not ask about the pea-based trauma of childhood, for it would be to open a can of… yes, you know.
To clarify, Harry Fry is a good coach, but he is not quite as good a coach as the market makers think, and as a result, it is very difficult to find value about his runners. Boothill is intriguing, but has never jumped a fence, faced good ground, or walked left-handed before, and all of these unknowns are against him, for all in all, he could be the best of these with time.
Fifty Ball was one I was against on his debut on the hunt given that 2½m at Sandown would stretch his stamina, and it did, but he traveled and jumped as the best horse behind Minella Trump, who has won again since, and Gary Moore’s Prosecutor looks well treated back on the spot for his excellent second place finish in the Betfair Hurdle in February.
Venetia Williams remains a mystery to us. We’ve seen the upswing in fortunes, but two bets we’ve found in novice handicap hunts have ended in falls, which is frustrating. That said, there are solid reasons to line up ESTRUVALS WINDLE here. He did not quite reach the level 1 heights we thought he could last year, but he did well when he fell in the Peterborough Chase at Cheltenham and that may have beaten his confidence.
His reunion at Old Roan at Aintree was remarkable, as he seemed to fall out behind the television with four to jump, and was still well down at the end, but another 100 yds, and he could have won the case so quickly was he finished. It came over 2½m and it’s his turn where his weakness of 2m is his sometimes sloppy leap towards the best, but the longer ride makes it easier for him in that regard, while his impressive British debut came on this course for good substrate. . We have not given him up as a strength at Class 1 level as he is still only six and he has much more class than his rivals in this handicap.
Published at 0940 GMT on 26/11/21
- Bretney (11/2, placed)
- Wick Green (8/1)
- Ash marble (28/1, placed)
- Tip Top Mountain (20/1)
- Crossgalesfamegame (6/1)
- Our Idic Boy (4/1)
- Viking Ruby (20/1, placed)
- Sidewaysinmilan (14/1, located)
- Lady Pacific (8/1)
- Gowel Road (13/2)
- Dont Be Robin (9/1)
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