Best games for Monday Night Football

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the New York Giants to finish Week 11 on Monday Night Football (8:15 ET on ESPN).

This week, ESPN betting analysts Eric Moody and Anita Marks, along with Stats & Information’s Seth Walder, are offering their best bet.

Odds loaned by Caesars Sportsbook from and including Sunday, unless otherwise stated.

New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11, 49.5)

Moody: Kenny Golladay is not listed on the Giants’ injury report for Week 11. He played on 83% of their offensive snaps and averaged 6.8 goals from Week 1-4 before being injured. Last week’s farewell came at a perfect time for him, and many Giants reporters have noticed that Golladay has put in some really good drills this week. Against a Buccaneers secondary who allows the 11th most passing yards per. match, Daniel Jones should target Golladay often.

Kadarius Toney has been on the same path as Golladay. He is also not on this week’s injury report. Back in Week 5, he caught 10 of his 13 goals on 189 yards against the Dallas Cowboys. Against Tampa Bay’s understaffed secondary, Toney could also succeed.

Although Mike Evans only caught 2 of 3 goals on 62 yards and a touchdown in a week 10 game where the Buccaneers were constantly playing from behind, he had averaged 8.0 goals and 68 receiving yards in his previous eight games. Given that Chris Godwin is struggling with a foot injury and is listed as a match-time decision (and since Antonio Brown is already ruled out), Evans was able to do quite well on Monday night. Rob Gronkowski may also be ready to shine after averaging seven goals and 61.3 receiving yards when he’s on the field and healthy.

Leonard Fournette should also continue to play a significant role in the Buccaneers offense. While playing on 60% of the team’s offensive snaps this season, he has averaged 17.8 chances (rushing attempts plus goals) and 85.5 total yards per game. match. Note that over the course of New York’s last five games, Kenyan Drake, Darrel Williams, Chuba Hubbard, Darrell Henderson Jr. have and Ezekiel Elliott averaged 97.0 yards against the Giants defense.

Choice: Golladay over 45.5 total receiving yards (-120), Toney over 43.5 total receiving yards, Evans over 65.5 total receiving yards (-115), Gronkowski over 28.5 total receiving yards (-115), Fournette over 93.5 receiving yards (total rushing yards) 110)

Walder: When he was healthy, Gronkowski’s goal opportunity far exceeded his Week 11 receiving line stopper. He had an average of 46.1 expected receiving yards per. match based on air yards, expected completion probability and expected YAC (NFL Next Gen Stats). Had Gronkowski never been injured, this would be a slam dunk over. He has, of course, been out with broken ribs.

I may be wrong, but I imagine the Buccaneers – especially as a Super Bowl challenger – would wait until Gronkowski was fully recovered enough to play significantly before allowing him to return to the field. If true, and based on the way he was used earlier in the season, he should have a good shot to hit 30-plus yards.

Pick: Gronkowski over 29.5 receiving yards (-115)

Brands: The Giants are saying goodbye to their farewell and will have Saquon Barkley back in attack along with offensive lineman Andrew Thomas. The Giants WR corps also returns to Golladay and Toney, giving Jones a much healthier arsenal.

On the other side of the ball, the Giants defense has been good during their last three games and has only allowed 39 points, a 28% 3rd-down conversion rate and only allowed three touchdowns in 13 red zone drives.

Choice: Giants +11, Giants (2-team teaser, +17), Jones over 240 passing yards (-115), Toney over 4.5 receptions (+120)


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