Kwasi Kwarteng reportedly shared a special Met Office briefing with energy companies that said the UK could face a mild winter and this could help ease the pressure on supply in the months ahead.
The rapid rise in global wholesale energy prices has seen 12 small energy suppliers collapse in the UK since September, with experts warning that the rise in the price cap for consumers announced earlier this month could be followed by another rise in April.
According to a report in the journal Financial TimesThe Business Secretary shared a Met Office briefing with energy suppliers and said the “most likely scenario” will be wet and mild this winter.
According to the Financial Times, the special Met Office briefing said, “The most likely scenario for the late-winter period from January to February 2022 is for periods of unstable rain, wind, and temperate.”
The briefing will go further than the Met Office’s most recent quarterly “outlook”, released three weeks ago, and says the time to December is “significantly more likely than normal” to be moderate, but adds that “cold weather is still possible.” ”.
This report is intended for contingency planning and “for planners who make risk-based decisions in government and business.”
The Financial Times reported that the Met Office has prepared long-term outlooks that take into account the percentage chance of temperatures, and these are used for contingency planning.
Noting that these are used by people who understand risk, not forecasts, the Met added: “All long-term forecasts are highly experimental when it comes to any meteorological organization.”
Ed Miliband, the Labor Party’s shadow business secretary, told the newspaper: “This is a new fall for the government’s energy policy. Kwasi Kwarteng, reduced to crossing her fingers for a mild winter, shows how vulnerable a decade of Government inaction has left us.”
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