The Red Sox remain just out of reach for one wild-card spot and are priced as a +450 long shot to make the postseason BetMGMbut make no mistake: 2024 has been positive in Boston.
The Sox entered the year with little to no expectations around them and have taken their various challenges and used them to create opportunities.
Boston leads MLB with a .318 batting average on balls hit in play entering Monday’s action, before struggling to get much offense going in a 4-1 loss.
Much of that can be attributed to steady campaigns at the plate from Rafael Devers, who is crushing the baseball with a career-high 93.6 exit velocity, and Jarren Duran — the unlikely All-Star MVP whose velocity has produced 13 triples and the eighth-most stolen bases at 32 year.
Alex Cora hands the ball to Kutter Crawford for their Tuesday night clash with the Mets, who despite falling behind the Sox in both on-base and slugging percentage, are favored at Citi Field.
Crawford’s recent woes also play into the lines here. He has taken the loss in three straight starts, but has maintained a 3.71 ERA during that span.
The four-year Boston veteran has served as an anchor for the rotation, posting career highs in wins and innings.
He has done this by conjuring more confidence in his arsenal which includes the rare knuckle curve.
According to Statcast, Crawford is inducing catches at a rate that puts him in the top seven percent of pitchers.
David Peterson and his 2.83 ERA are about to suffer some serious regression: He owns a projected ERA, which takes contact quality and overall command into play, of 5.15.
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The The Mets just got home after a long road trip that ended with a three-game snooze against the awful White Sox.
Boston’s bats and balanced pitching are poised to sound the wake-up call against a Mets team that gets overrated in a tight matchup.
The Play: Red Sox (+115, bet365)