NFL Elections, Predictions Against Scatter Week 12: Packers Rocker Rams; Patriots pop Titans; 49ers, the Bengals humming again

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Thanksgiving weekend marks the end of November NFL action. This means that it is time to increase the positive results of the game’s choices and predictions against the spread.

Week 12 of the 2021 season brings yet another set of difficult betting lines and odds. There are several tossup games where one team is only slightly preferred. It blurs the line between towards the spread and straight up

But this is not called a fearless prognosis for nothing. For better or worse, here’s the latest round of pro pigskin predictions for yet another 15-game board:

(Betting odds loaned by FanDuel)

Cardinals back to No. 1; Chiefs, Patriots rise like cowboys, bills fall for week 12

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The NFL chooses against the spread for week 12

Sunday 16:25 ET, Fox

The Packers lost a wild shootout in Minnesota but still came back to roll with Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams in the passing game. In this division playoff rematch, they will flex a little more in the running game at Lambeau Field, with more of AJ Dillon filling in for Aaron Jones. After a farewell, Sean McVay’s attack will clear up some things, leading to an exciting duel between Rodgers and old NFC North enemy Matthew Stafford. Rodgers is committed to making fewer mistakes at home and exploiting the weaknesses around Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey better than Stafford does against an overperforming Green Bay defense.

Pick: The Packers win 30-24 and cover the spread.

  • Thanksgiving: Bears (-3.5, 41.5 rpm) at Lions

Thursday 12:30 ET, Fox

The Bears return to start Andy Dalton after rookie first-rounder Justin Fields was knocked out with a rib injury against the Ravens. Lions can keep up with Tim Boyle over Jared Goff, who missed the entire Week 11 at the Browns with an oblique injury.

Detroit created some ugly fights in Pittsburgh and Cleveland with a run-heavy, rough defensive approach. But the last two home games against Cincinnati and Philadelphia were disasters. Chicago has a good recent history in Ford Field, including two consecutive Thanksgiving victories.

The Bears are missing key defensive players, but they still have plenty of offense in this game to support Dalton, led by running back David Montgomery and breakout-wide receiver Darnell Mooney. The Lions will try to ride D’Andre Swift to victory in the backfield, but their lack of reliable downfield passing games hurts here. Whether it’s Fields or Dalton, the Bears will break out of scoring in their teens and perform enough to delay the end of the Matt Nagy era.

Pick: Bears win 27-17 and cover the spread.

  • Thanksgiving: Raiders at Cowboys (-7, 51 rpm)

Thursday 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS

The Raiders are back to fading hard out of the AFC playoff picture. They can no longer run the ball and play adequate defense, which puts a lot of pressure on Derek Carr in what has once again become a compressed pass game. All that development is bad for facing the Cowboys. Dallas had Denver hiccups at home, but has otherwise rolled into Jerry World.

The Cowboys’ attack will be without former Raiders wideout Amari Cooper (COVID-19) and probably also the new top goal CeeDee Lamb (concussion). They were kept out of the end zone in Kansas City last week when both Dak Prescott and the running game were having a hard time. Look for them to go back to basics with Ezekiel Elliotts and Tony Pollards backfield, with more short-to-between passes and still just enough receiving pop with Michael Gallup and Cedrick Willson.

The Raiders can do some damage with Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow inside Carr, but again he will be under siege and make critical mistakes as Dan Quinn’s defense plans to confuse him.

Pick: The Cowboys win 27-17 and cover the spread.

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  • Thanksgiving: Bills (-4, 46.5) at Saints

Thursday at 20.20 ET, NBC

The Bills have lost offensively as the big downfield games have been taken away from Josh Allen and they are struggling to support him with a traditional running game. Allen needs to rely more on his own athletics to play, taking as his starting point what Jalen Hurts did against the Saints’ defense. Throwing a lot more at Stefon Diggs and Dawson Knox on short to intermediate routes is also a smart, patient game plan.

The Saints are unsure of getting Alvin Kamara (knee) back in a short week after missing the last two games. Bills’ running defense should be motivated to show that the Jonathan Taylor debacle at home was a stroke of luck. Trevor Siemian should see a lot of pressure and will not see much open access with his limited receiver and tight end committee.

Pick: Bills wins 27-17 and covers the spread.

Sunday at 13 ET, CBS

The Patriots put it all together with their defense, special teams, running games and now more from rookie Mac Jones in an effective downfield passing game. Bill Belchick has been pursued by his former linebacker Mike Vrabel’s team in big places, but Vrabel is dealing with a shorthanded deck, making their once explosive offensive easy to defend while still being many important fundamental holes in the defense. Ryan Tannehill was burned abundantly by Belichick in AFC East games, and his sudden Henry-minor downturn does not bode well for getting more points than Jones does.

Pick: The Patriots win 24-10 and cover the spread.

  • Disruption of the week: Giants (+3.5, 46.5 rpm) over Eagles

Sunday at 13 ET, Fox

The Giants come after a tough home game Monday night against the Buccaneers. The Eagles have been red-hot lately and have hurt with Jalen Hurts leading a run-heavy approach. They have also been wary of limited reception options for Hurts. Danel Jones’ team has played spoiler for fringe playoff teams ahead of them, including the Saints, Panthers and Raiders. New York would love nothing more than to burn Philadelphia with Saquon Barkley and a high-percentage passing game from Jones who plays a few more games at home to beat Hurts.

Pick: The Giants win 24-23.

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Sunday at 13 ET, Fox

The Jets get a break here because the Texans are not an effective whiz from the selection team away from former Bills rival QB Tyrod Taylor. Even as a running back novice, Michael Carter, they have the better collection of versatile playmakers to help those starting against Taylor. Robert Saleh’s defense also packs a little more punch than David Culley’s.

Pick: Jets win 17-14.

Sunday at 13 ET, Fox

Tom Brady should be confident of moving the ball on the Colts’ zone defense, and should the Vita Vea return to the Bucs as expected, they can at least slow Jonathan Taylor down a bit with their strong running defense. Brady can quickly turn the game script into negative and make Carson Wentz throw often to match, which is not ideal for Indianapolis.

Pick: The Buccaneers win 28-24 and cover the spread.

Sunday at 13 ET, CBS

The Falcons are a tough team to read from week to week, but they are taking a short road trip to Jacksonville on a long week where they will be closer to full strength offensively. Matt Ryan will return on the road with the help of his various weapons, while Trevor Lawrence will remain in a funk as his team has no idea how to use his receiving support.

Pick: The Falcons win 20-17 and cover the spread.

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  • Panthers (-1, 42.5 rpm) at Dolphins

Sunday at 13 ET, Fox

Cam Newton has fitted well into the Panthers’ offense, playing against Christian McCaffrey. The Dolphins will have no answer for those who run CMC often and facilitate Newton again in the red zone. Tua Tagovailoa will continue to play OK, but he will have less support from his quick attack and defense.

Pick: The Panthers win 23-20 and cover the spread.

  • Steelers at Bengals (-3.5 45.5 rpm)

Sunday at 13 ET, CBS

Could the Bengals sweep the Steelers in one season? Pittsburgh’s defensive injuries are hard to overcome in terms of various and multiple offenses, something the home team certainly has in Joe Burrow, Joe Mixon and J’Marr Chase. Cincinnati’s defense has some holes, but can win the key match up front to bring Ben Roethlisberger down.

Pick: The Bengals win 27-24, but fail to cover the spread.

  • Chargers (-2.5, 42.5 rpm) at Broncos

Sunday 4:05 PM ET, CBS

The Chargers have a trap game in the division here after the emotional climax of surviving the Steelers in Week 11. But their work is far better than the Broncos, whose only assets come from a goodbye and being at home. Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler and the rest of the offense roll again, and Brandon Staley may well plan to push Teddy Bridgewater.

Pick: Chargers win 24-20 and cover the spread.

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Sunday 16:25 ET, Fox

This fight with two explosive and balanced offenses will be fun as Kirk Cousins ​​and Jimmy Garoppolo both stay warm. Between Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Justin Jefferson and Adam Theilen, there are plenty of playmaking receivers before they get into the strong zone-based running games. The Vikings have figured out how to win close matches, but the 49ers have just regained their confidence in home games. Offensively-minded Kyle Shanahan outsmarted defensively-minded Mike Zimmer just enough.

Pick: 49ers win 31-27 and cover the spread.

Sunday at 20.20 ET, NBC

The Browns should get Kareem Hunt back to pair with Nick Chubb and further trigger the attack with the ideal run-first approach to Kevin Stefanski. Baker Mayfield got hot around this time last season and will eager to put more doubters by playing well in a division match and grinding his many injuries through. Lamar Jackson got his illness-based break in Week 11 and makes this an exciting affair that Cleveland needs a little more than Baltimore. The Ravens win with more late Jackson heroism, but it does not come easily.

Pick: Ravens wins 24-21, but fails to cover the spread.

  • Seahawks (-1, 46 rpm) near Washington

Monday at 20.15 ET, ESPN

The Seahawks do not look really offensive with Russell Wilson, as they are caught between wanting to be a running team despite no rushing efficiency and a large playing team that does not have many options. The defense has been playing better lately, but that has not meant much, as the complementary football is completely out of the shadow of Pete Carroll. Ron Rivera’s football team is hot with Taylor Heinicke, and it’s happening again here.

Pick: Washington wins 27-24.

Vinnie Iyer’s election from 2021:

  • Week 11 record against spread: 7-7
  • Week 11 record straight up: 8-6
  • Season ATS: 88-74
  • Season straight up: 105-58

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