Prisco’s NFL Week 10 pick: Aaron Rodgers surpasses Russell Wilson, Chiefs squeaks past Raiders in prime time

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You can not complain about winning weeks, right?

I was a three-way winner last week in Week 9. I got 8-6 with my expert selections, 8-6 straight up and 4-2 with my best bets in part of the Pick Six podcast. It raises the season totals to 74-59-3 against the spread, 82-54 straight up and 29-28 with my best bets.

It’s a pretty good week, considering I asked to be over 0.500 in all three. But what hurts is that it started as if it could have been much better. Let’s just say the prime-time games eat me alive.

Let’s change that up this week and continue the fine roll.

Thursday at 20.20 (Fox, NFLN)

Latest odds:

Miami Dolphins +7.5

The Ravens pulled out last week, thanks to Lamar Jackson. The Dolphins beat a bad Houston team. Tua Tagovailoa should be back to this one for Miami. The Ravens defense has problems, but the Dolphins have struggled in the attack. Watch Baltimore come to Miami and win this game easily.

Pick: Ravens 30, Dolphins 20

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Sunday at 1pm (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

New York Jets +12.5

The Bills were terrible last week in losing to the Jaguars, but they are getting the perfect tonic for their problems in the Jets. Buffalo’s offense has been incompetent the last couple of games. That needs to change. It will here. The Bills will finally have an offensive explosion and the defense will play well again.

Pick: Bills 33, Jets 13

Sunday at 13.00 (Fox)

Latest odds:

Washington football team +9.5

Both teams are saying goodbye as they are ready for their playoff rematch from last season. Tampa Bay lost to the Saints last time, so you know Tom Brady let it go for two weeks. Washington is not rushing past, as most expected before the season, which is why Brady will cut them up. Washington continues to be a disappointment.

Pick: Bucs 34, Washington 21

Sunday at 13.00 (Fox)

Latest odds:

Dallas Cowboys -9

The Falcons play consecutive road games, but they impressed by winning in New Orleans last week. They get a Cowboys team that will not be happy after being upset by the Broncos last week. Dallas fought on the offensive, but it will get back on track here. Look for a lot of points and Dallas will take it back a big day by Dak Prescott.

Pick: Cowboys 31, Falcons 28

Sunday at 13.00 (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Tennessee Titans -3

The Titans are running high after their impressive rebellion over the Rams last week, while the Saints are coming off a hard-fought loss to the Falcons. There will be a natural downturn for the Titans, and without Derrick Henry, the offense will fight a bit against a good Saints defense. This one will be close, but the Titans will win it late.

Pick: Titans 23, Saints 22

Sunday at 13.00 (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Indianapolis Colts -10.5

The Jaguars impressed in defense by limiting Buffalo to six points last week. They will not do that again. But I think they can slow down Jonathan Taylor somewhat. This will be a low-scoring defensive game. The Colts will win it, but the Jaguars will be stuck.

Pick: Colts 21, Jaguars 14

Sunday at 13.00 (Fox)

Latest odds:

Pittsburgh Steelers -9

The lions are without victory and come from farewell, which means they are rested. The Steelers play in a short week. Distribute Detroit. It’s the only one. The Steelers almost blew their game for the Bears Monday night. They will not blow this one up or almost lose it. This is going to be bad.

Pick: Steelers 28, Lions 10

Sunday at 13.00 (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

New England Patriots -2

The Browns play back-to-back road games and put a lot of effort into winning a major division game last week in Cincinnati. The Patriots are back home for the first time in three weeks after winning two away games. Their defense is playing much better and they will do a solid job of putting the game on Baker Mayfield with the possibility that Nick Chubb is out. Mac Jones will do enough on the offensive to get the win.

Pick: Patriots 27, Browns 21

Sunday at 16.05 (Fox)

Latest odds:

Los Angeles Chargers -3

The Vikings are out for the second week in a row after losing in overtime last week to the Ravens. They played well in that match, but the defense let them down. Now they must try to slow down Justin Herbert, who got back on track last week. Look for a high-scoring game here where the Chargers win it.

Pick: Chargers 34, Vikings 28

Sunday at 16.05 (Fox)

Latest odds:

Arizona Cardinals -10.5

The Cardinals should have Kyler Murray back for this one after winning without him last week. It’s important against a good Panthers defense. Carolina’s offense is a mess, especially as a quarterback. With Sam Darnold out, it’s going to be PJ Walker. It does not matter. The Cardinals win it.

Pick: Cardinals 26, Panthers 13

Sunday at 16.25 (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Denver Broncos -2.5

The Broncos are in the playoff hunt for their upset victory over the Cowboys away last week. They dominated that game. Since they are at home against an Eagles team that is not in the same class, they will do it again. The defense will limit Jalen Hurts as the Broncos do enough in the offense to win it.

Pick: Broncos 23, Eagles 17

Sunday at 16.25 (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Green Bay Packers -3

Russell Wilson is back for the Seahawks, and Aaron Rodgers should be. It will make this a fun offensive game to watch. However, the Packers defense is getting better every week. I think they will play well after losing last week and Rodgers will have a field day in his return.

Pick: Packers 31, Seahawks 24

Sunday at 20.20 (NBC)

Latest odds:

Las Vegas Raiders +2.5

The Chiefs beat the Packers last week, but still did not look good on offense. The Raiders lost to the Giants. These two teams both need this in the worst way. This may be the game that Patrick Mahomes finally gets back on track. It should be a fun game with high scores if that happens. I think it does. Mahomes wins a shootout with Derek Carr.

Pick: Chiefs 34, Raiders 33

Monday at 20.15 (ESPN)

Latest odds:

San Francisco 49ers +4

Both of these teams come after bad losses. They both fought in style. The Rams did not move the ball much on the Titans and turned it around as well. It will not happen here. Sean McVay will get his attack back on track against a poor 49ers defense. Rams take it.

Pick: Rams 30, 49ers 17