As India battles it is one of the deadliest in the world Covid-19 plague, this week India’s health minister Harsh Vardhan stressed that his death from the disease remains “the lowest in the world”.
It was a word that had devastating images as well accounts from India over the past two weeks, hospitals and mortuaries are packed with people, people are dying in the streets due to shortages of air, and crematoriums are flooded with bodies.
The death toll in India continues to rise sharply. Saturday, was another broken day, with 401,993 new cases and 3,523 people. Yet health experts believe that daily figures do not come close to showing the exact number of deaths.
With Covid-19 patients unable to enter hospitals, many have died at home, often untested. Meanwhile, state governments and federal officials are being prosecuted in connection with the miscc, which is hiding and returning dead people from their districts. Last month, in the city of Karnataka in Bangalore – where the numbers are rising in the country – the number of Covid deaths registered at the crematorium was almost double the number of deaths.
The allegations were widely circulated in Uttar Pradesh, where the federal government, led by the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and Prime Minister Yogi Adityanath, said the government was under pressure and threatened to prosecute those who “spread terror.” Officials refuse to hide anything.
In the city of Muzaffarnagar, Uttar Pradesh, data was collected Spectator shows the stark contrast between the state of the dead and the accounts of those who run the graves.
According to government statistics, Muzaffarnagar died 10 Covid in four days at the end of April. However, Ajay Kumar Agarwal, President of the Muzaffarnagar crematorium, said this was not even close to the bodies they cared for.
“Normally, we burn three corpses a day, but in the last 10 days it has increased,” he said. “One day he was 18, another day he was 20, then 22, and another 25 days. In the last 10 days, we have never had at least 12 bodies a day – 90% of those who die from the air.”
With only seven pyres at the Muzaffarnagar crematorium, Agarwal said he was so distraught that he burned the bodies outside, and sent another to a crematorium 20 miles away. “What is happening here is tragic,” he said.
Agarwal says “wrong” statistics are being published, suggesting that the city experienced daily this week without the death of Covid or just two people. “Supervisors do not make accurate death statistics,” he said. “I do not understand why they are hiding it. They may not want people to be afraid. ”
Sanjay Mittal, at another crematorium in Muzaffarnagar, New Mandi, made a similar point. “We have never seen anything like it in my life – we are on fire from morning till evening” he said.
According to Mittal, prior to the epidemic, New Mandi cremation sites often see five bodies approaching in one day. But on April 27 he received 21 bodies, on 28 April he was 15, and on April 29 he was 18. He could not confirm how many people had Covid-19.
“It’s noon and we already have 12 bodies. Who knows how many will be at the end of the day,” he said on Friday.
The same body re-appearance was recently reported by Abdul Quadir, who runs a Muslim cemetery in Muzaffarnagar. “Before we got to the corona, we put in two or three bodies a week, but here six or seven bodies come in every day,” he said. “Only three bodies have so far been released from the hospital, the rest have died at home and have not been examined.”
More government data confirms the very low cost of Covid-19 in Muzaffarnagar; On Tuesday 27 April, no tests were conducted in the area, while on April 29, only 561 tests were performed, all of which came back infected.
An Indian Medical Association doctor in Uttar Pradesh, who asked not to be named, said many people were dying from diseases such as pneumonia and lung fibrosis, which they contracted as a result of Covid-19 complications. “The death toll is staggering, but it’s not as high as coronavirus mortality,” he said.
He added: “We acknowledge that the death toll from coronavirus is much higher than expected from the government. The bodies we see are stored in crematoriums, especially people who were hospitalized at home, and then died there. The death toll is also higher. “The experimental rate here is lower than the value.”
The medical director in Muzaffarnagar did not respond to a request for comment.
Murad Banaji, a mathematician who copied the Indian epidemic of Covid-19, said “several evidence suggests that the calculation of Covid mortality is a serious problem in India”. He added: “Before we begin to thank ourselves for the deaths of a minority in India, the first thing that needs to be explained is that we do not know how many people are dying from Covid in this country.”
According to Banaji estimates, the death toll in India should be more than three times higher than the number of deaths. This is based on censuses from cities such as Mumbai that analyzed the number of “dead deaths” registered in the city in 2020, when the epidemic hit for the first time (overdose means the number of deaths more than the number of deaths is usually recorded instead. each year).
Banaji noted that in Mumbai there was an unprecedented number of deaths, and for every Covid-19 death, there is an unspecified death toll from Covid.
“Not all fatalities are from Covid-19,” Banaji explained. “But from what we can get from data and studies around the world, it probably was, and in Mumbai, my estimates are 60% to 70% of the extra deaths were from Covid.”
Such a census will force the actual death toll in Mumbai from 13,000 to about 21,000. However, Banaji emphasized that in rural and poor areas of India, in countries such as Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, which have health limits, mortality screening and Covid testing, the death toll from Covid “could not be greater, than in a city like Mumbai. ”.
India’s inability to accurately describe the deaths of the plague is overwhelming. If, as many believe, overpopulation is more prevalent in densely populated areas, the actual risk of epidemics in these groups cannot be identified, and this will help to allocate resources according to the epidemic and the response of state or federal authorities. Similarly, experts fear that it could jeopardize the government’s ability to develop a vaccine for future surges.
Banaji said, “If we do not have the data to better understand what is going on with the epidemic, how can India prepare for the future?”